Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 11.846040 13.571362 15.475806 17.736491 20.350328 23.281601 26.823854
2025-09-28 9.349085 11.542211 14.160263 17.525520 21.750674 26.898238 33.673374
2025-10-05 8.216778 10.703197 13.843573 18.120444 23.823892 31.210281 41.570232
2025-10-12 7.372258 10.032317 13.550550 18.575484 25.619507 35.218271 49.418720
2025-10-19 6.789645 9.597047 13.462251 19.217520 27.647549 39.663756 58.304540
2025-10-26 5.984342 8.739338 12.665835 18.726949 27.950442 41.624548 63.739763
2025-11-02 5.385710 8.102408 12.098465 18.474169 28.523281 43.972213 69.943439
2025-11-09 4.893153 7.565271 11.611648 18.267866 29.106664 46.342595 76.385843
2025-11-16 4.461708 7.074727 11.139589 18.018836 29.566642 48.520569 82.702000
2025-11-23 4.064472 6.597654 10.638121 17.659512 29.785822 50.289103 88.468965
2025-11-30 3.936063 6.542841 10.807659 18.421542 31.958801 55.555260 100.968967
2025-12-07 3.730252 6.337827 10.705022 18.698608 33.299221 59.480406 111.445791
2025-12-14 3.483970 6.045939 10.435197 18.666273 34.100726 62.554012 120.762596
2025-12-21 3.231920 5.721867 10.080366 18.444095 34.524479 64.962794 129.063172
2025-12-28 3.131412 5.659145 10.182755 19.072160 36.611627 70.736049 144.802537
2026-01-04 3.017225 5.560457 10.208665 19.552596 38.451630 76.203280 160.561867
2026-01-11 2.936929 5.517403 10.332357 20.230527 40.747263 82.815368 179.580300
2026-01-18 2.715158 5.185609 9.878111 19.712522 40.533568 84.203537 187.213594
2026-01-25 2.542488 4.935640 9.562145 19.445623 40.815906 86.660855 197.556491
2026-02-01 2.389833 4.713291 9.282667 19.227805 41.178088 89.318726 208.678709
2026-02-08 2.244892 4.495302 8.994586 18.964887 41.412433 91.708381 219.440793
2026-02-15 2.099943 4.266382 8.666369 18.585545 41.346794 93.403008 228.692503
2026-02-22 2.077875 4.291511 8.868351 19.390058 44.063808 101.834641 256.005602